Robert A. Burton:The test of a first rate intelligence is the ability to hold two opposed ideas in the mind at the same time and still retain the ability to function.
作為一個明智的投資者需要的正正是Burton所說:有能力把兩個對立的意念放在腦海的同時也思考。
近日個市場傻傻地,特別是香港。世界經濟明眼人看知道還沒有好轉,只有減慢惡化。但市場的技術走勢,錢的流向及氣氛等等也指出指數有反彈,賺錢是機會。明智的投資人應找緊機會明白基本因素差時也有技術因素向好,不能單一方面作分析,即使是對立,只要有一方的力較強,就能出反彈或下跌等等。
我在金融海嘯得到一個很大的敎訓就是基本因素,長線投資或公司前景等不論多好,只要市場力量一壓下,所有股價不能幸免。我以前學了長線投資及基本分析,即使市場走勢差或者我也感到會有下跌的壓力時,我心裏也叫自己別擔心前景好,管理層好等等。其實這正正是腦內出現兩股對立的意見時,其中一個意念一面倒的壓過了,以致我不能”明智”的作出一個decision。後來我加入trader的行列學習,又因為腦內的”基本分析”以致我多次損手,又因為兩個意念的衝突,就會有種”當”機的感覺,不能思考,不能”明智”的作出一個decision。
現在我學精了,當你能把兩個衝突的意念合一時,你就能成為明智的投資人。
*ROBERT A. BURTON, M.D., graduated from Yale University and the University of California at San Francisco medical school, where he also completed his neurology residency. At age thirty-three, he was appointed chief of the Division of Neurology at Mt. Zion-UCSF Hospital, where he subsequently became Associate Chief of the Department of Neurosciences. His non-neurology writing career includes three critically acclaimed novels and a neuroscience and culture column at Salon.com-- Mind Reader. He lives in the San Francisco Bay Area.
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